By Jason Lange
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden maintained a significant lead over President Donald Trump in Michigan, but the two candidates were neck and neck in North Carolina, Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls showed on Tuesday.
Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states – Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona – that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.
Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters, which include responses from some who cast ballots ahead of the formal Nov. 3 Election Day, which is increasingly common due to the coronavirus pandemic:
MICHIGAN (Oct. 7 – Oct. 13):
** Voting for Biden: 51%
** Voting for Trump: 43%
** Result unchanged from prior week.
** 22% said they already had voted.
** 51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 41% said Trump would be better.
** 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 46% said Biden would be better.
NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 7 – Oct. 13):
** Voting for Biden: 48%
** Voting for Trump: 47%
** The race was tied the prior week at 47%-47%.
** 12% said they already had voted.
** 47% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 45% said Trump would be better.
** 52% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 42% said Biden would be better.
WISCONSIN (Oct. 6 – Oct. 11):
** Voting for Biden: 51%
** Voting for Trump: 44%
** Biden up a point from 50%-44% lead in prior week
** 20% said they already had voted.
** 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.
** 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 46% said Biden would be better.
PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 6 – Oct. 11):
** Voting for Biden: 51%
** Voting for Trump: 44%
** Biden lead up from 50%-45% lead in prior week
** 6% said they already had voted.
** 51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
** 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
FLORIDA (Sept. 29 – Oct. 6):
** Voting for Biden: 49%
** Voting for Trump: 45%
** Prior poll showed 47%-47% tie.
** 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 41% said Trump would be better.
** 49% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
** 7% said they already had voted.
ARIZONA (Sept. 29 – Oct. 7):
** Voting for Biden: 48%
** Voting for Trump: 46%
** Prior poll showed Biden with 47%-46% lead.
** 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43% said Trump would be better.
** 52% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 42% said Biden would be better.
** 3% said they already had voted.
NOTES
The Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls are conducted online in all six states in English, as well as in Spanish in Arizona and Florida.
** In Michigan, from Oct. 7 to Oct. 13, it gathered responses from 985 adults, including 620 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 5 percentage points.
** In North Carolina, from Oct. 7 to Oct. 13, it gathered responses from 1,000 adults, including 660 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
** In Wisconsin, from to Oct. 6 to Oct. 11, it gathered responses from 1,002 adults, including 577 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 5 percentage points.
** In Pennsylvania, from to Oct. 6 to Oct. 11, it gathered responses from 1,002 adults, including 622 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 5 percentage points.
** In Florida, from Sept. 29 to Oct. 6, it gathered responses from 1,100 adults, including 678 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
** In Arizona, from Sept. 29 to Oct. 7, it gathered responses from 1,099 adults, including 663 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
(Reporting by Jason Lange; Editing by Scott Malone and Peter Cooney)
